How signals are generated
Macro-Valuation- Our signal generation process begins with analyzing macro-valuation. Our algorithm consolidates various factors such as economic indicators, market trends, inflation rates, and government policies to determine the overall value of the entity being evaluated. This provides a comprehensive perspective on the market landscape.
Trend Analysis- In addition to macro-valuation, we consider trend analysis. By assessing the price movement and market conditions of a particular asset, we can gauge whether the conditions are favorable for a trading decision. This helps you stay informed about potential market trends and make timely investment choices.
Back Testing- To ensure the viability of our strategies, we employ back testing. By testing trading strategies using historical data from the past 10 years, we assess how they would have performed in different market conditions. This rigorous process allows us to refine our signals and provide you with reliable and validated insights.
Signal Types
Bullish Signals - A Bullish signal indicates a positive view on the price of a particular asset or market. It suggests an expectation that prices will rise in the future, making it a favorable time to buy or hold that asset. Our Bullish signals provide you with opportunities to capitalize on upward market trends.
Bearish Signals - Conversely, a Bearish signal represents a negative view on the price of an asset or market. It suggests an expectation that prices will decrease in the future, signaling a suitable time to sell that asset. Our Bearish signals enable you to make informed decisions to protect your investments during downward market trends.
Super Signals - When a signal backs up well with a supportive price tailwind and a strong macro trend, you receive a Super Signal. These premium signals combine the best elements of our analysis and provide you with the highest chance of success. Look out for these Super Signals as they indicate the most promising opportunities.
Signals Interpretation
Security Name and Market Identifiers - Each signal includes the name of the security along with key market identifiers such as Bloomberg, SEDOL, and ISIN codes. This ensures clarity and enables you to identify and track the asset with ease.
Status of the Trade - Signals are categorized as either "Live" or "Closed." A live signal indicates that all the conditions triggering the signal still hold, while a closed signal suggests that there is no longer a macro opportunity on the asset. This helps you stay updated on the current status of each signal.
Target Price and Inception - The target price provides you with the price at which the eyeQ algorithm values the asset. This information allows you to align your trading decisions and expectations. Additionally, the inception date indicates when the signal was published, providing insights into its historical context.
Likelihood of Success
Confidence Metrics - Each signal is accompanied by confidence metrics on three key components: Macro-Valuation, Trend, and Back Test. These metrics are presented on a scale of 1 to 4, representing the strength of conviction behind the trading signal. A higher score indicates a greater level of confidence in the signal's potential success.
Holistic Analysis -By considering multiple factors and evaluating the metrics across different dimensions, we provide you with a comprehensive assessment of each signal. These metrics serve as valuable indicators of the signal's reliability, helping you make informed trading decisions.
Model Value Move
The eyeQ smart machine measures a whole range of macro factors such as economic growth, inflation, credit spreads, the Dollar, Fed policy shifts, commodities and much more.
It then looks at the historical relationship a stock or FX cross has with all those macro moves and computes a fair value.
Basically, eyeQ model value is where a security “should” trade given where macro conditions are.
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